MetaMask - Sponsor Image MetaMask - Trade everything with MetaMask Friend & Sponsor Learn more

Are NFTs Back?

The NFT market cap is at its lowest since summer 2021, yet top Ethereum collections are surging.
Are NFTs Back?
Listen
1
0
0:00 0:00

Subscribe to Bankless or sign in

Over the past week, crypto's heavyweights have been flat, with BTC up 1%, ETH down 1%, SOL down 2%, and etc. Sentiments have improved since a month ago, sure, but it's anyone's guess what happens next, and another downward break wouldn't be surprising considering how 2026 has gone so far.

What is surprising, though, is where we're having outperformances right now, namely top Ethereum Ethereum NFT projects. Surprising because the NFT bear market has been particularly brutal in recent months, and if the major coins are flat, you'd expect the same or worse for NFTs in this current environment.

However, we've been seeing significant rallies in Ethereum collections, particularly PFP projects. Pulling together data from CoinGecko's NFT page, it's clear that buy pressure is picking up:

Collection Floor Price 7D Price Mkt Cap
CryptoPunks
CryptoPunks
30.88 ETH
$70,823
+18.8%
$707.8M
BAYC
Bored Ape Yacht Club
9.72 ETH
$22,293
+29.8%
$222.9M
Pudgy Penguins
Pudgy Penguins
5.24 ETH
$12,017
+23.3%
$106.8M
Chromie Squiggle
Chromie Squiggles
2.85 ETH
$6,527
+29.4%
$65.3M
Azuki
Azuki
1.12 ETH
$2,568
+35.1%
$25.7M
Moonbirds
Moonbirds
1.00 ETH
$2,300
+17.3%
$23.0M
Doodles
Doodles
0.66 ETH
$1,514
+36.3%
$15.1M
CrypToadz
CrypToadz
0.40 ETH
$911
+25.5%
$6.4M
mfers
mfers
0.22 ETH
$505
+15.8%
$5.1M
DeadFellaz
DeadFellaz
0.15 ETH
$355
+148.0%
$3.6M


Why these rallies, then? From my vantage, there admittedly doesn't appear to be a singular obvious catalyst at the moment, and this makes it harder to gauge the momentum.

Perhaps the top NFTs have been too oversold for too long relative to their potentialities, and they're entering a new recovery period; or perhaps this is just a temporary hopium rally in the absence of obvious higher-beta plays in Ethereum DeFi right now and not the beginning of the next big NFT market breakout.

Only time will tell, but in the meantime it's worth keeping our perspective zoomed out. This new action does feel promising after a brutal bear, yet the current market cap of NFTs is $2B, and the last time the NFT market was this small was the summer of 2021. The reality is that it doesn't take as much money to move the prices of NFTs today as it would have in April 2022 or March 2024 when the market cap of NFTs was over $16B and $10B, respectively.

We are in an NFT rally, but it's just a blip on the radar for now considering the previous market cap peaks of the NFT ecosystem.

So while we might be in "wait and see" mode for now, what would change the picture here is if we start seeing sustained volume and not just floor price movements, and if buying pressure starts extending beyond the biggest collections into smaller projects.

The NFT market has had false dawns before, of course, but it's also true that every recovery starts somewhere, and sometimes with exactly this kind of quieter, unheralded uptrend. At the very least, this will be a thread to keep an eye on throughout May.


William M. Peaster

Written by William M. Peaster

987 Articles View all      

William M. Peaster, Senior Writer, has been with Bankless since January 2021. Immersed in Ethereum since 2017, he writes the Metaversal newsletter on the onchain frontier, covering everything from AI projects to crypto games, as the team’s lead NFT analyst. With a background in creative writing, he writes fiction and publishes art on Ethereum in his free time.

No Responses
Search Bankless