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The U.S. Supreme Court ruled 6-3 today that President Trump's expansive tariff program was illegal, delivering an instant jolt of optimism across the U.S. stock market and the cryptoeconomy.
What's the Scoop?
- The Ruling: The court found Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing large-scale tariffs without congressional approval, invalidating billions in existing duties that could force the government to refund well over $130 billion already collected from importers.
- Markets React: A few hours after the ruling, green candles weren't in scarce supply. The S&P 500 traded up 0.53%, the Nasdaq up 0.78%, and gold up 1.64%. Crypto majors
Bitcoin and
Ethereum were up 1.3% and 1.8% respectively, while the majority of the top 100 coins were also trading in the green on the day. - Dollar Dips: The U.S. dollar was a notable exception to the day's risk-on mood, falling 0.2% as traders digested the fiscal math behind the ruling since tariffs had been quietly propping up government revenue. Treasury yields climbed accordingly, as markets began pricing in heavier government borrowing ahead.
- More to Come: Trump called the ruling a "disgrace" and said his team has a backup plan. Analysts note the White House could potentially reimpose tariffs through different legal channels, meaning today's ruling may delay rather than end Trump's trade war entirely.
Bankless Take:
Axing tariffs provides a relief for consumers, importers, and risk assets. For crypto specifically, a weaker dollar is historically a tailwind, and if today's dollar softness extends into a broader trend, it could become a catalyst for a sustained recovery in crypto prices. If that happens, it'd be ironic, with a Trump policy defeat ending up as fuel for the very asset class his administration has otherwise championed.