# Nasdaq Exchange Wants Piece of Prediction Market Mania

*Author: Jack Inabinet*
*Published: Mar 2, 2026*
*Source: https://www.bankless.com/read/news/nasdaq-wants-piece-of-prediction-market-mania*

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Nasdaq Inc. is seeking to enter the prediction market space with binary event contracts tied to its Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ: NDX) stock index.

### What's the Scoop?
- **Recent Filing:** This Morning, Nasdaq MRX – the group's options exchange [subsidiary](https://www.nasdaq.com/solutions/nasdaq-mrx) – [filed](https://listingcenter.nasdaq.com/assets/rulebook/mrx/filings/SR-MRX-2026-05.pdf) with the Securities and Exchange Commission to list binary options tied to its flagship Nasdaq 100 stock index.
- **Similar Structure: **Although Nasdaq's filing entirely omits the terms "prediction market" and "event contract" (instead opting for "cash-settled, European-style binary options"), the proposed instruments would be highly similar Polymarket's [BTC up/down markets](https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2022343906168623112), which offer fixed payouts for correctly determining the price direction of BTC in the next five minutes.
- **TradFi Competition:** CBEO Global Markets is reportedly [targeting](https://www.reuters.com/business/cboe-explores-options-product-with-all-or-none-payouts-source-says-2026-02-02/) a Q2 launch ​for its "all-or-none" styled contracts focused on financial and economic events. Meanwhile, CME Group already [offers](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/prediction-markets.html) prediction markets sports, economics, financials, crypto, and commodities.

> NEW: Nasdaq is making its first real move into prediction markets.The exchange wants to list binary options on the Nasdaq-100 — yes/no contracts priced from $0.01 to $1 that reflect the market’s implied probability of an outcome.source: Bloomberg [pic.twitter.com/DyOONxSjGW](https://t.co/DyOONxSjGW)— Frank Chaparro (@fintechfrank) [March 2, 2026](https://twitter.com/fintechfrank/status/2028482631134814580?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw)